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Financial, News
09/07/2026

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Contrarian investing

Finding opportunity beyond consensus

Financial markets have a peculiar characteristic: they react before they reflect. A piece of news breaks, a rumor spreads, a sector suddenly becomes the topic of the moment—and prices adjust, sometimes dramatically, before the information has even been fully digested. It is within this gap between collective reaction and economic reality that the essence of the contrarian philosophy lies.

Contrary to popular belief, being a contrarian does not mean systematically doing the opposite of the market. That would be a posture, not a method. Rather, it is based on a specific conviction: collective emotions regularly distort prices, and it is within these distortions that the best opportunities can be found.

When collective psychology influences prices

Two mechanisms recur time and again in financial markets. When bad news hits a sector or a company, the reaction is often disproportionate: quality assets can be sold well below their intrinsic value, driven more by widespread panic than by any genuine deterioration in fundamentals. Conversely, when a theme becomes widely embraced—a technology, an industry, a trend—valuations can soar far beyond what underlying economic performance justifies.

What market history teaches us

This approach is not new, and it is associated with some of the most respected investors in financial history. Warren Buffett famously summarized the idea by saying that one should be greedy when others are fearful. John Templeton went even further, arguing that moments of maximum pessimism statistically offer the best entry points. Michael Burry, meanwhile, highlighted another often-overlooked reality: being right before the market is not enough—you must also have the ability to hold your position until the market catches up with reality, which can be a long and uncomfortable process.

What connects these three very different investors is not a gift for prediction, but a shared discipline: remaining anchored in fundamentals rather than being distracted by market noise.

In theory, contrarian investing is easy to understand. In practice, it requires a rigorous process.

Four Pillars of a Structured Approach

Our active management philosophy is built on a simple conviction: sustainable performance is built, not guessed. This conviction is expressed through four pillars that guide every investment decision we make.

  • Identifying Strong Businesses : everything starts with identifying high-quality companies.Our analysts follow more than 200 companies worldwide. This rigorous selection process immediately excludes fragile businesses or those that are overly dependent on favorable market conditions.
  • Valuation : identifying a great company is not enough—you must also know the right price at which to buy it. We have developed our own valuation model to estimate the intrinsic value of each company, independently of market sentiment. This discipline allows us to distinguish between a quality company and a quality company purchased at the right price. It is the latter that creates long-term performance.
  • Portfolio Construction : The third pillar is portfolio construction. We combine high-quality, undervalued assets while diversifying across asset classes, geographical regions, sectors, and individual companies. Every portfolio is designed to absorb shocks without sacrificing the opportunities that arise along the way.
  • Letting Time Do Its Work : our fourth pillar is less about technique than about mindset: allowing time to work in our favor. We are firmly committed to a long-term approach. While many investors fear market volatility, we view it as a source of opportunity far more than a threat, because periods of uncertainty often create the most attractive entry points.

Why this approach remains relevant today

One might assume that the abundance of information and the increasing automation of financial markets have reduced the impact of behavioral excesses. In reality, the opposite is happening.

The faster information circulates, the more collective reactions can become self-reinforcing—whether through panic-driven selloffs or sector-wide enthusiasm. The human factor, far from disappearing, remains one of the primary sources of market inefficiency. And it is precisely within these inefficiencies that long-term value is created.

A philosophy not a slogan

Contrarian investing is far more than an intellectual exercise. It is a demanding discipline that requires accepting the discomfort of holding a minority view, maintaining the rigor of continuous analysis, and exercising the patience needed to allow a well-founded investment thesis to play out over time.

It is not about ignoring the market—it is about refusing to let the market think on our behalf.

This philosophy has been at the heart of our investment approach since the 1990s. It guides the daily work of our analysts and portfolio managers, driven by a simple conviction: the best investment decisions are rarely made at the center of consensus.

We would be delighted to discuss this philosophy with you in greater detail and to show how it is translated into the practical construction of our portfolios.

Guy Oberweis

Senior Wealth Manager


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